physdude’s Activity

Wed Feb 18

NL

Boards Post

physdude replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 2:21 AM

Re: Maybe the market is overvalued

Jim was not right about the overall return starting from 2004 (likely because the current market is extremely overvalued) but was right in another way. It would have been the right decision to wait for valuations to drop 30% in 2004 as one would have [more]

Fri Jan 23

NL

Boards Post

physdude replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 6:04 AM

Re: $NAHL

Surprisingly, NH-NL was still negative yesterday despite the big positive market move. I wonder how common a negative NH-NL is when there is a 1.5% move up in the index.

Mon Jan 19

NL

Boards Post

physdude replied to the Falling Knives board. 1:19 AM

Re: OCN/ASPS

The CA regulator issue was a surprise to me and was not disclosed by the management earlier AFAIK (in fact, I even took an additional bite just before the issue came out). Hence, my confidence in the management is no longer as high as before and I [more]

Mon Jan 5

NL

Boards Post

physdude replied to the Falling Knives board. 1:43 AM

Re: Chinese stocks

The 2823 call strategy has paid off huge this year to anyone who adopted it. I made some decent profits too but sold most of it quite early as my target prices were too low and I certainly didn't anticipate a very quick 50-60% run up in the index. [more]

Fri Jan 2

NL

Boards Post

physdude replied to the Value Hounds board. 9:38 AM

Re: LINE cuts distribution to 0.125/unit

LINE was down 7-8% pre-market and is now actually up 4% in the opening 5 minutes of trade. The volatility surrounding this name is getting really crazy. So much for efficient markets :).

NL

Boards Post

physdude posted to the Value Hounds board. 7:21 AM

LINE cuts distribution to 0.125/unit

LINE announced a significant distribution cut to 0.125/unit together with a large reduction in their capex. While the market will take it negatively, I think this is good news for the long run as it gives breathing room for management to improve [more]

Wed Dec 31

NL

Boards Post

physdude replied to the Value Hounds board. 4:20 PM

Re: the Who Knew Year

Having just finished the new year celebrations and having some insomnia, I second your points and raise another glass to 2015.

I was having a brilliant year shaping up to be like the last until Q4 when energy and another individual stock [more]

Sun Dec 28

NL

Boards Post

physdude posted to the Falling Knives board. 9:32 AM

OCN/ASPS

Both these stocks have fallen considerably since the NY DFS imposed a very onerous settlement on Ocwen. Unfortunately, I allocated about 6% of my portfolio to both these stocks at prices nearly double the current one on the expectation of a [more]

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One star, 50 posts
Board Posts 217
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Very First Post Buffett's results explained finally by academia? (1/25/2013)
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