jck101’s Activity

Mon Oct 20

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 7:49 PM

Re: On sensitivity

Much is also made here about the inaccuracy of the models. I think this is overstated. What is important is the overall trend indicated by the models, which is a very consistent increase in future temperatures. The analogy here is with economic [more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 9:09 AM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

While most of his links are one-sided, at least he provides them.

I am curious if you feel that you have provided links from both "sides"...

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 9:08 AM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

And as the confidence levels get tighter, the likelihood of further significant change becomes very small.

Has it gotten tighter? AR5 didn't even give a central estimate, AR4 did, one can assume that they are less confident than [more]

Sun Oct 19

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 9:12 PM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

7. Finally, Correlation does not prove causation. And alarmists do not even have that unless they cherry pick the data.

In general, this old canard is true. But correlations as close to unity as the R=0.994 of the Parrenin et al dataset
[more]

NL

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jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 8:08 PM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

Yes**, because the implication of your statement is a concerted (if not coordinated) effort.

No, it does not take a concerted or coordinated effort to get the overselling of science that I described. If you felt that is what I said or [more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 4:18 PM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

As the last article says, deliberate fraud (in academia) is extremely rare.

But we're not only talking about deliberate fraud here, we're talking about bad science, which is much less rare. Either way, your results are incorrect. [more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 2:26 PM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

Cherry picking or data dredging may get you the same results as outright fraud.

Agreed. Which is why it's a bad idea to do it. You want your tenure?


Not all grad students, who perform much of the work, want tenure. [more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 2:16 PM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

That's simply incorrect (unless the research is owned by a corporation with a financial interest in the result, e.g. tobacco, "big pharma", etc). Reproducibility is critical in academia. The last thing you want is to publish something [more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 2:03 PM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

And when they commit fraud they are skewered. Back when I was in academia I saw it happen (from a distance) on at least two occasions (both overseas). Not including Pons/Fleishmann. Sloppy or deceitful results destroy your reputation, and then [more]

NL

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jck101 posted to the Climate Change board. 10:49 AM

Compost helps rangeland lock up carbon

A compost experiment that began seven years ago on a Marin County ranch has uncovered a disarmingly simple and benign way to remove carbon dioxide from the air, holding the potential to turn the vast rangeland of California and the world into a [more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 10:00 AM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

ME: So you can imagine no scenario where the overselling of climate change might occur?

1PG: Among scientists? No. Absolutely not. Reputations are far too valuable and far too fragile, and scientists are extremely unforgiving of both
[more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 12:10 AM

Re: CO2 Increase is not Nemesis

That's not how grants work. I've been there, I know. Further, falsifying results is death to your career. Only idiots do that.

Scientists get famous proving the present theories are wrong, not confirming they are correct. And the research
[more]

Tue Oct 14

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 11:44 PM

Re: How would you invest energy research $$?

The elephant in the room is the current set of subsidies for various things... that is money that gets freed up to invest when-if the subsidies stop... and they really do have to stop because otherwise the mix each of you is describing is twisted [more]

NL

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jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 9:29 PM

Re: How would you invest energy research $$?

I would invest all public energy research money in health research.

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 12:04 AM

Re: Keeping the Lights On

The one interesting (and I think legit) complaint I've heard was regarding how do we notify generations 5000 years from now that a given site is dangerous?

If this is a serious concern of yours I am going to presume there is nothing [more]

Sun Oct 12

NL

Boards Post

jck101 posted to the Climate Change board. 2:42 PM

Science

This ebola investigation reminded me of climate science...

WASHINGTON (AP) -- A top federal health official says a health worker diagnosed with Ebola has been unable to identify a breach in procedures that might have led to her [more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 4:12 AM

Re: Methane mitigation cost effecive

“Federal guidelines for meal and entertainment expenses”

Learn something every day.

Why would a company that makes no profit do charity events?

Sat Oct 11

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 11:23 PM

Re: Methane mitigation cost effecive

Employee picnics are good for employee moral and productivity. They are also tax deductible.

Employee picnics are tax deductible?

Fri Oct 10

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 9:15 AM

Re: Dr. Stillwater and Professor Cobb

Loren made an incorrect statement, SW did not.

NO! That is not true. Do you understand why that is not true?


This is what Loren said:

Apparently you live in a state that neighbors Colorado.

You [more]

NL

Boards Post

jck101 replied to the Climate Change board. 8:22 AM

Re: Dr. Stillwater and Professor Cobb

Jack, you are playing sophist to the hilt here, and you are ignoring both the inaccuracy of SW in the difference between a living "in Colorado" vs "a state that neighbors Colorado". Those two sets DO NOT intersect. It is a [more]

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