btresist’s Activity

Yesterday

NL

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btresist replied to the Creation vs. Evolution board. 3:38 PM

Re: Free will revisited

From an evolutionary stand point, not sure why you seem to think that something has to have a reason to evolve. As long as it doesn't kill off a species, all kinds of strange things can, do, and have evolved. Perhaps you could share with me why [more]

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btresist replied to the Creation vs. Evolution board. 8:23 AM

Re: Free will revisited

Consciousness allows you to be privy to what is going on deep inside your subconscious, and provides you an abridged, and rather sane version of the information. For example, when you are hungry, your brain does a thorough analysis of your body's [more]

Tue Jul 22

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btresist posted to the Climate Change board. 9:37 AM

stochastic model shows AGW

New study using stochastic modeling methods demonstrates that the warming "pause" is just natural variation that is temporarily masking the underlying warming trend. Unfortunately, AGW is real.

[more]

Mon Jul 21

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btresist posted to the Climate Change board. 12:06 PM

Models not so bad

Turns out that those climate models that better take into account natural variability (in the form of El Ninos and southern oscillations) are actually pretty accurate in their projections. This is unfortunate as I was hoping the deniers were right [more]

Sat Jul 19

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 9:14 PM

Re: Carbon Tax Intended Consequences

2007 to 2011 there is the same reduction in emissions in Canada and BC. Obviously you can cherry pick dates to your favor, such as you did, but I suggest just waiting until 2013 numbers are available to call it a decrease in [more]

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 8:21 PM

Re: Carbon Tax Intended Consequences

It didn't reduce per capita emissions any faster than the rest of Canada, so I'm not sure what the point is. Until now the only affect has been to redistribute wealth from the poor to rich.

Don't think so. Here is the graph in [more]

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 3:35 PM

Re: Carbon Tax Intended Consequences

So I guess as long as you're not poor, you're better off because now the poor are paying more taxes than they used to.

The regressiveness only occurred in the last couple of years and it is easily correctable. It is just a matter of [more]

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 1:30 PM

Re: Carbon Tax Intended Consequences

Good for what? I can agree that it is better than some of the alternative carbon taxes proposed.

Good for BC. BC is demonstrably better off with the carbon tax than without. Because of the carbon tax, BC has lowered personal and [more]

Fri Jul 18

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 2:08 PM

Re: coal tipping point?

Modern society needs power at night. Charging EVs at night makes a lot of sense, as well. Nuclear is a good option. The wind blows at night as well.

Decentralized solar storage for residential is coming to Australia and California. [more]

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btresist replied to the Creation vs. Evolution board. 1:52 PM

Re: Free will revisited

One argument is that our conscious mind might not be doing what we feel or perceive it to be doing, ie. directing our behaviors and choices. I think this is the case, but I don't think it impacts on free will at all, as it's still my brain making [more]

NL

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 11:51 AM

Re: A statistical approach

Not necessarily. One can define the forward curve in any way they like.

Now you are being argumentative. Your parameters have to based on some estimate of reality. In determinative models it is based on theory. With stochastic, it [more]

NL

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 9:03 AM

Re: A statistical approach

Not necessarily. In economic modelling, one can plot predicted trends for a number of key economic indicators and use those. One could use a range of predicted future gas prices, food prices and personal income (all of which may go up or down) to [more]

NL

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 8:45 AM

Re: Carbon Tax Intended Consequences

Was the Australian carbon tax structured like the BC one? I have not heard of a politician proposing one like BC's in the US. They generally want to use it as an opportunity to pass out cash to politically favored parties, such as in CA, some of [more]

NL

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 8:39 AM

Re: A statistical approach

'Pretty accurate' in what sense? Even the consensus estimates for climate sensitivity vary by a factor of three. And that's before coming across a paper that models the southern half of the globe, because of ozone recovery, won't contribute to [more]

Thu Jul 17

NL

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btresist posted to the Climate Change board. 1:30 PM

Airbus joins the climate fight

Probably a more efficient method than a carbon tax to reduce the frequency of air travel.

Airbus has filed a patent application showing detailed renderings of what may be the plane seat of the future.

[more]

NL

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btresist posted to the Climate Change board. 1:17 PM

Carbon Tax Intended Consequences

In British Columbia, the carbon tax resulted in a significant reduction in gasoline use, an significant reduction in business and personal income tax rates, and a significant increase in tax revenue. Watts up with that!?!

[more]

NL

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 1:04 PM

Re: A statistical approach

I think you overestimate the certainty of projections for 100 years from now. And in this context you underestimate the need/desire for 'short term' forecasts. Policymakers would love to have robust forecasts of how temperature and precipitation [more]

NL

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 9:01 AM

Re: A statistical approach

Just curious, but can anyone here describe in a couple of sentences the difference between stochastic and determinative models? Or are we still just cut/pasting from blogs?

Now I'm no expert on modeling so what I have to say has no more [more]

Wed Jul 16

NL

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btresist replied to the Creation vs. Evolution board. 6:33 PM

Re: Ashes to ashes, ...

I have already explained how belief in the supernatural can be an evolutionary advantage.

Sure. But yours is just one of many possible rationalizations.

Memes don't have to reflect the real world. Pervasive memes include [more]

NL

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btresist replied to the Climate Change board. 6:22 PM

Re: Are conservatives relevant?

Because the nuclear plant will produce 24/7 power. It is meaningless to say solar or wind by themselves are cheaper than coal, nuclear, or some other baseload power. This is because solar and wind always need to be backed up with reliable [more]

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Very First Post Re: Europe in Bible Prophecy (long) (7/10/2001)
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