Windchasers’ Activity

Mon Nov 17

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 2:49 PM

Re: Just as we expect

The small number of investigations into the "missing heat" imply that our observations somehow missed detecting huge quantities of heat over the last (almost) 20 years. And yet, our observations from the warming period before the hiatus [more]

Thu Nov 13

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 6:28 PM

Re: Friendly bet

The greenhouse effect does not have a gradual influence on temperature, just a sporadic effect.

No, it has a gradual effect, but the other things I mentioned (ENSO, volcanoes) have sporadic effects. Without knowing the frequency and [more]

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 4:09 PM

Re: Friendly bet

Or is CO2 increase and the greenhouse effect NOT a slavedriver of the earth's temperature?

Over longer time periods, sure. Over short time periods (e.g., a decade or less), no.

On short time scales, the Earth's atmospheric [more]

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 1:14 PM

Re: Friendly bet

>So your forecast for the next thirty years is that there will not be much more year over year temperature increases as compared to temperature decreases or static temperature?

I wouldn't make a bet if I didn't have good reason to [more]

Mon Nov 10

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 7:09 PM

Re: Friendly bet

All this thread shows is that even the believers cannot agree whether it is going to get warmer or not..

I don't think we're reading the same thread. The "believers" seem to almost unanimously agree that it will get warmer [more]

Fri Nov 7

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 1:17 PM

Re: UN Climate Refugees

Hey SP1,

Link doesn't work. Do you have another? I'd like to check the claims for myself.

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 1:15 PM

Re: A Look At The Arctic Death Spiral

Oh I have posted enough links, you know the ones that show the world isn't warming the ocean isn't heating.

You have links that demonstrate that the world isn't warming? I.e., that the temperature trend is statistically [more]

Thu Oct 2

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 6:41 PM

Re: No warming for 18 years

"No warming for 18 years"

That's not what the surface temperature data says. The trend is positive, which means that the odds are >50% that the Earth's surface has warmed. For 18 years, the odds are more like just shy of [more]

Tue Sep 23

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 6:40 PM

Re: Do you believe global warming has stopped?

This model has a response of 1.4°C, most of which is reached in 10 years. The half-effect time is more like two years. One can consider the carbon dioxide emission of each week/month/year as 'instantaneous'.

Reading the paper, [more]

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 2:15 PM

Re: Do you believe global warming has stopped?

Depending on your source for temperature the timeframe is not 15 years, but 18 years 23 years or as much as 27 years.

If there are measures that show that there has been zero effect with the man-made CO2 at an all time high, what makes
[more]

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 1:59 PM

Re: Do you believe global warming has stopped?

As I stated, there is more man-made CO2 in our atmosphere than ever before. The results of this on the climate is pretty much imperceptible for a significant period of time. Depending on your source for temperature the timeframe is not 15 years, [more]

Mon Sep 22

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 11:58 PM

Re: Do you believe global warming has stopped?

I might be wrong, but I think that your second series in that chart does not precisely represent 1998 to 2015 temperatures. Not saying it's wrong or mislabeled, just that I think it represents a 5 year mean. I think that means that where the first [more]

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 9:05 PM

Re: Do you believe global warming has stopped?

"Near-zero and even negative trends are common for intervals of a decade or less in the simulations, due to the model’s internal climate variability."

Sure, but we haven't had a zero or near-zero trend. Rather, the surface [more]

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 6:56 PM

Re: Climate Science Is Not Settled

I believe that to call it "Climate Change" is deceptive is all the solutions are to decrease CO2, which is a greenhouse gas, which causes the earth to warm. It should be called Global Warming if you want to be honest.

My [more]

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 6:33 PM

Re: Do you believe global warming has stopped?

Do you believe global warming has stopped?

Nope.

The "pause" means the time that the warming trend has been statistically insignificant - the time period when we can't rule out a zero trend with 95% certainty. The [more]

Tue Sep 9

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 5:31 PM

Re: facts

Claim: an assertion that something is true
http://www.oxforddictionaries.com/definition/english/claim

No one has asserted anything.

So now [more]

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 5:11 PM

Re: facts

The RSS satellite dataset shows no global warming at all for 215 months from October 1996 to August 2014. That is more than half the 428-month satellite record.

The satellite data sets are known to have problems due to orbital decay [more]

Mon Sep 8

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Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 9:03 PM

Re: Antarctica ice is declining

Transient or equilibrium? Did not see it clarified in the blog post. Makes a huge difference.

Equilibrium (Charney), IIUC. The answers would just be crazy high, otherwise. >2.75C for transient climate sensitivity? That'd even be a [more]

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Boards Post

Windchasers replied to the Climate Change board. 6:24 PM

Re: Antarctica ice is declining

Of course, that's the number that agree humans have influenced climate change through CO2, not the number that agree sensitivity is above 3°C.

There's a new survey out of climate scientists, and this one fortunately goes a bit [more]

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Boards Stats & Trivia

Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool
Board Posts 3342
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