PosFCF’s Activity

Yesterday

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 12:26 PM

Re: Is the market overvalued?

Along comes a horde of locusts and destroys your crops. Then along comes Janet who says "We will feed you through the winter and help you get back on your feet," nnd does.

Change your analogy a bit and, instead of locusts, [more]

Sat Jul 26

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 7:47 PM

Re: The Main Macroeconomic Risk?

That is what is different now. That is why the old rules do not apply. The money interests can conspire to blackmail governments, extort money with threats, manipulate financial markets, and none of the honchos is ever held accountable for crimes [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 1:39 PM

Re: The Main Macroeconomic Risk?

My first rule of forcasting is things will pretty much go along as they have been going along.

Then explain either the start or the stop of the dotcom boom, the housing boom, the Great depression, the Great World Wars, [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 10:15 AM

Re: The Main Macroeconomic Risk?

[THE MAIN MACROECONOMIC RISK]

It has been my experience that the more the herd looks to indefinable elements to support a conviction that their market will continue to go up, the more the real risk becomes that they're wrong.

The [more]

Wed Jul 23

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 1:17 PM

Re: The future, or what's left of it.

I'm going to take the opposing side of much of the commentary I've read on this thread.

I think the "always connected, everywhere" combined with the "all hazards removed and all inconveniences alleviated by the big [more]

Mon Jul 21

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Mining and Metals board. 9:46 AM

Re: Thoughts on trading gold and Goldcorp

Isn't this just another way of saying that gold miners are leveraged to the price of gold? When gold goes up, they go up faster, and vice-versa.

No. It is saying that sometimes that can be the case, now perhaps being one of [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:21 AM

Re: The future, or what's left of it.

So I suppose my plan to sell Encyclopedia sets door-to-door should be re-evaluated?

Yeah, position yourself as an antique, antique salesman....but make sure you're updated on what they offer these days as the old full sets in English [more]

Sun Jul 20

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Humor and Urban Legends board. 3:47 PM

Re: Injury on the golf course


I expected the usual boneheaded retort, I'm just surprised it took fourteen hours
and 57 minutes for you to come up with it. Sorry about the sleepless night it caused.


Had I known you were up counting the minutes, perhaps I [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Mining and Metals board. 11:47 AM

Re: Thoughts on trading gold and Goldcorp

You know, I looked up GG for September 2010. Essentially unchanged during that month.

Now compare it to the price of gold for the same time period and you might notice that before the acquisition the outperformance of GG to GLD when [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Mining and Metals board. 10:16 AM

Re: Thoughts on trading gold and Goldcorp

Peter

Good luck with your GG trades, I think you'll need them. I discovered GG when they took over Glamis back in 2006, so I decoded to take GG shares since they were keeping some key personnel for GLG (Glamis' former symbol). The price went [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Humor and Urban Legends board. 9:44 AM

Re: Injury on the golf course

She laughed and quickly said, "Thank you, but I fell on my ass, not my head."


To which he replied, "Oh, you're Republican and now have a concussion!"

Poz

Thu Jul 17

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Mining and Metals board. 11:47 AM

Re: Anyone interested in Goldcorp?

I could make some arguments for why trading GG has close to zero risk. But the traffic here is so light these days I'm not sure anyone would read it.

The problem I have with the major gold miners is their ore grade in the proven & [more]

Wed Jul 16

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:53 AM

Re: Defining risk

But is there risk? There is a tiny, tiny probability that TIAA-CREF will default on this investment, and if it does you might lose your entire investment. So there some is risk here, albeit a small one.

There is also purchasing power [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 10:39 AM

Re: A Brain-Teaser ESOP Tax Question

The folks over on the Tax Strategies board would be able to give a comprehensive answer, probably after asking a few more questions.

The thing that struck me is that many participants in ESOPs might be doing so as part of a 401K plan. [more]

Tue Jul 15

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 8:19 PM

Re: Defining risk

Denny:

You said: Reading the excerpt I posted might be enough to illuminate the risk issue.

Well, sir, I think you give me too much credit. The following excerpt of your excerpt makes the issue as clear as mud to this old [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 10:59 AM

Re: Defining risk

GrandpaRalph!

Good to see you! I'd love to hook-up again, but the chances of getting Mrs Poz to Southern Michigan are pretty slim! BTW, I still have the Foolish cap you so graciously awarded me as the prize for that tourney! It will always [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:49 AM

Re: Defining risk

knightof3

There is a .pdf file you may find interesting. I can't provide a direct link because it always opens up as a .pdf! So I did a Google on "Risk is not the same as Uncertainty" to narrow down the field to where on my [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:36 AM

Re: Defining risk

Denny

I have Frank Knight's book "Risk, Uncertainty and Profit" in my library of to-be-read. Started reading it once and decided his style was too dry for where my head was at the time. [I think I bought it on your recommendation a [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:27 AM

Re: Defining risk

TMFbuild

I see "new" next to your name, so welcome to METAR.

Here is what FINRA has to say about risk and, while there are some things I don't completely agree with, it is to these definitions that I must advise clients or [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:21 AM

Re: Defining risk

Wondering what the satisfaction level is for your clients; do they see markets going up all around them and wonder why they are not keeping up? Are they satisfied with perpetual excuses about risk? Do they want their fair share of reward? [more]

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Big gold star, 5000 posts Top Recommended Fools Old School Fool
Board Posts 7424
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