PinzaTodd’s Activity

Sat Apr 2

NL

Boards Post

PinzaTodd posted to the College Hoops board. 4:19 PM

Rating comparison to the Final Four, corrected

Before the tournament began, I populated a spreadsheet with all 68 teams plus selected numbers associated with each of them. (I was briefly unemployed, a situation since rectified, so I had time for this silliness then.) I hoped to use several [more]

NL

Boards Post

PinzaTodd replied to the College Hoops board. 1:51 AM

Re: Rankings, compared, to the Sweet 16

I don't understand why you just don't use Sagarin and KenPom.

I was about to reply that the "538 ELO" rating I've been using as a comparison incorporates several other independent sources, including Ken Pomeroy, Sagarin, and [more]

Thu Mar 31

NL

Boards Post

PinzaTodd replied to the College Hoops board. 10:48 PM

Re: Rankings, compared, to the Sweet 16

An update of how my PT40 model did in predicting which teams would make the Final Four, compared to RPI and 538 ELO. As before, lower scores are better:

47 PT40
48 538 ELO
50 RPI

Now a look at what each model predicts will [more]

Sat Mar 26

NL

Boards Post

PinzaTodd replied to the College Hoops board. 7:00 PM

Re: Rankings, compared, to the Sweet 16

Next up, comparing the results after the 3rd round.

OK, here we go. Yes, with Gonzaga (which 538 ELO rated much more highly than RPI or my PT40 did) losing, right now my PT40 model is actually ahead of both 538 ELO and RPI in [more]

Fri Mar 25

NL

Boards Post

PinzaTodd posted to the College Hoops board. 1:42 AM

Rankings, compared, to the Sweet 16

Before the tournament began, I populated a spreadsheet with all 68 teams plus selected numbers associated with each of them. (I was briefly unemployed, a situation since rectified, so I had time for this silliness.) I hoped to use several numbers I'd [more]

Mon Mar 14

NL

Boards Post

PinzaTodd replied to the College Hoops board. 3:06 PM

Re: Estimating the NCAA top seeds: Sunday AM

This revision adds ELO ratings from fivethirtyeight.com.


Seed Team Overall RPI 538 ELO PT40 record*

1 Kansas 30-4 1 2097 14-4
1 North Carolina 28-6 5 2075 5-6
1 Virginia [more]

NL

Boards Post

PinzaTodd replied to the College Hoops board. 12:08 AM

Re: Estimating the NCAA top seeds: Sunday AM

OK, Twelve years later, how did this year's top seeds fare according to my "PT40 record"?

Seed Team Overall RPI PT40 record*
1 Kansas 30-4 1 14-4
1 North Carolina 28-6 5 5-6
1 Virginia 26-7 3 9-7
1 [more]

CAPS Stats & Trivia

CAPS Player Rating < 20
Player Rank 0 out of 74851
Score 0.00
Score Change Today 0
Accuracy 0.00%
Active Picks 0
Total Picks 0
Best Pick ( 0)
Worst Pick ( 0)
Average Score per Pick 0.00
Charms Earned 0
Highest Rated Favorite No Favorites Selected
Go to PinzaTodd’s CAPS page

Boards Stats & Trivia

Three stars, 500 posts
Board Posts 634
Recs Received 2323
People who have rec'd these posts 440
Recs to Posts Ratio (last 30 days) N/A
Threads Started 275
Threads Started Percentage 43.38 %
Most Frequent Board Apple
Very First Post Sensible interpretation of April PC Data numbers (5/21/1999)
Percentage of Posts Rec'd 71.92 %
Show PinzaTodd’s 10 Latest Posts