LorenCobb’s Activity

Today

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 2 hours ago

Re: Arctic sea ice -- DrBob mistake?

Wulong: Wondering this aloud has resulted in veiled death threats (Loren telling me he'd inform my widow).

I am not a physicist. I was commenting on the way you seem happy to lecture physicists on the nature of the scientific method, [more]

Yesterday

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 2:02 AM

Re: Statistics question for LC

Anything in your box of tricks?

Sure, but this week is a particularly bad time to ask a complex question. I can try to be more specific after a few deadlines have passed.

In general, though, here are some [more]

Sun Aug 31

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 6:01 PM

Re: Arctic sea ice -- DrBob mistake?

DB2: You will see that the dark black line was indeed close to the 1979-2000 mean for that date.

This is a superb example of the kinds of difficulties that people can get into when trying to apply statistical reasoning to observed [more]

Sat Aug 30

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 6:42 PM

Re: For the ladies

Some of my dimmer critics have attempted to make a meal out of my factual statement: a man cannot rape his wife. But that is not only a fact, it is the explicit law in the greater part of the world, just as it is part of the English Common [more]

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 12:24 AM

Re: My problem with nuclear

telegraph: Obviously, Botswana and Niger and Chad don't have 5 billion in spare cash to build a nuke plant. Same for Libya and Algeria and chad and Togo and nearly every other African country. No need to discuss that.

Whoa there, [more]

Tue Aug 26

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 6:41 PM

Re: GHG emissions keep growing

DB2: On the assumption that it is the level of carbon dioxide that is important: 2010 conc./2000 conc. = 389.85/369.52 = 1.055 => 0.5% annual growth rate.

You calculated the growth rate of CO2 in the atmosphere. The quoted article [more]

Mon Aug 25

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 10:48 AM

Re: The void that caused this.....Rant!

Tuni: I can't and won't paint all those who believe in Islam with the same brush, just as we can't do so with any other religion. But, isn't it time for the sane Muslims in this country and all over the world to speak out, to garner their forces, [more]

Sun Aug 24

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 10:42 AM

Re: Meteorologists preparing for the worst

The reporter, Clément Sabourin, appears not to understand the difference between a percent and a degree. And this is a physics page!

This is yet another example of innumeracy in the journalism. If the reporter is confused, how the hell [more]

Sat Aug 23

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Apple User's Group board. 5:29 PM

Re: Nearly dead HD..

FlyingDiver: Expected life on most consumer drives that are used daily is about 5 years.

That raises a question. I have a four-year-old iMac that has been very seldom used (at most about one day in a hundred). It seems to work without [more]

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 3:43 PM

Re: Why Energy Storage Will Not Work

Waterfell: Yes, but using the German example, they are shutting down their nuclear plants and will have them all shut down by the end of 2022. Meanwhile, they say they are planning to get to 80% renewables by 2050, presumably by building a lot of [more]

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Living Below Your Means board. 3:32 PM

Re: NYT: Life expectancy by county

Pauleckler: I found the life expectancy figures interesting. Most counties are shown at abt 78 years. Some a bit lower but some over 80... I wonder what accounts for these difference? Better genes. Better medical care. Healthy diet. Work [more]

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 2:26 PM

Re: Why Energy Storage Will Not Work

To be viable, the EROEI needs to be above 7 or so. Wind power with storage brings the EROEI down to 3.9.

I think this reasoning makes use of a well-known economic fallacy.

Of course it is wonderful to have an EROEI over [more]

Fri Aug 22

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 2:48 PM

Re: Did Dawkins just double down...

Dawkins: If your morality is based, as mine is, on a desire to increase the sum of happiness and reduce suffering, the decision to deliberately give birth to a Down baby, when you have the choice to abort it early in the pregnancy, might actually [more]

Wed Aug 20

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 5:04 PM

Re: Warmist turned Skeptic- Good Interview

Can you PLEASE stick to the evidence and logic argued? Can you debate his points?

Do I have to spell it out?

After living a few decades on this world, and interacting with a very wide variety of people, almost everyone learns [more]

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 4:21 PM

Re: Warmist turned Skeptic- Good Interview

Here is a profile of David Evans: http://watchingthedeniers.wordpress.com/climate-sceptic-cons...

Sadly familiar.

LC

Tue Aug 19

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 10:29 AM

Re: Sunspot revisions

Excellent news!

This will improve our statistical estimates of the effects of solar activity on warming, and may possibly reduce the error bars as well.

Every year I introduce beginning statistical grad students to the problem of [more]

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Retire Early Liberal Edition board. 1:10 AM

Re: Poll: Good Morning, Vietnam

Answer #4: No, I got a deferment, was a conscientious objector, or escaped to Canada.

Just to be clear about this:

Those who applied for and were granted Conscientious Objector status (1-O in the draft terminology) were not [more]

Mon Aug 18

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 7:29 PM

Re: Arctic Sea Ice - Highest Since 2004

Evidence of cyclicality in that data set: Zero. I wonder how Goddard defines the word "cyclical"?

According to Goddard, the data he used for this graph came from the University of Illinois at Champagne-Urbana, Department of [more]

Sun Aug 17

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 6:46 PM

Re: Fragmentation

CNC: To which of these definitions [of Westphalian] are you referring?

DrBob is referring to the modern concept of the "sovereign state", which emerged during the negotiations that ended the Thirty Years War in 1648. The [more]

NL

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 2:58 PM

Re: being scholarly

1poorguy: I just find it interesting (for lack of a better word) how once you could have a Renaissance Man who knows history and philosophy and the various sciences (perhaps even contributing to them), but today there's just too much. Today you [more]

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