LorenCobb

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 4 hours ago

Re: Why one cannot always trust the data

DB2: I'd be interested. Do they include r-squared values?

Sure, but here's the thing. Kriging is a form of interpolation between measured points. The procedure is similar to splines, but in two or more spatial dimensions. In this case [more]

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 11:47 AM

Re: Apple's Tax Fraud

AM: you want us to forget about them [Republicans] and focus on Apple?

I'm not trying to single out Apple here. My outrage was triggered by a news item about Apple, but what I said is my thinking about all major corporations: they [more]

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LorenCobb posted to the Atheist Fools board. 4:51 AM

Apple's Tax Fraud

“Apple wasn’t satisfied with shifting its profits to a low-tax offshore tax haven,” said Senator Carl Levin, a Michigan Democrat who is chairman of the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations that is holding the public hearing Tuesday [more]

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 2:51 AM

Re: Koch coke wasteland

Spooky: Therefore, 'the' cannot modify 'worse' because 'worse' is not a noun and 'the' is not an adverb so it cannot modify 'worse'. 'Worst', on the other hand, can be either an adjective or a noun, depending on its usage. Therefore, "the [more]

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LorenCobb posted to the Climate Change board. 2:34 AM

Why one cannot always trust the data

This is an interesting upcoming seminar at NCAR:

Multivariate Climate Reconstructions, or: Why you don't (always) trust the data

Johannes Werner (TU Darmstadt) and Susan Tolwinski-Ward (NCAR)
May 22 at [more]

Boards Post

LorenCobb posted to the Climate Change board. 6:22 PM

MacLeod

This cartoon just about sums it all up...

www.ucsusa.org/assets/images/si/cartoon-contest-2013/MacLeod...

In real life, the artist is a professor [more]

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 4:47 PM

Re: New sea rise projection

Well, now I see where DB2 got the 17" figure from: 69 cm was the upper end of the confidence interval. The Ice2Sea midpoint is at 42.75 cm, or about 17 inches.

IceSea: 16.5 to 69 cm
AR4-B1: 18 to 38 cm
AR4-B2: 20 to 43 [more]

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 4:35 PM

Re: New sea rise projection

The Ice2Sea study found a rise of 27 inches (69cm), not 17 inches. I have no idea where DB2 got the 17 inches from. Wishful thinking? Typo?

Furthermore, the rise of 27 inches obtained by Ice2Sea came from an ensemble median based on [more]

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LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 4:00 PM

Re: pro-life caused Gosnell

1pg: I think they [NARAL] may be overstating it somewhat, but I agree with their basic point. Women will seek abortions. We can make them legal or force women to monsters like Gosnell.

Overstating? I suspect that they understated the [more]

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LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 5:31 PM

Re: 500, Loren?

PR: care to fit a curve to the Mauna Loa CO2 measurements and give us a best estimate for when we hit 500 parts per million?

Using a quadratic trend on monthly data from NOAA, I get a projected level of 500 ppm occurring in the year [more]

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LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 2:09 AM

Re: 15 years without warming

StP: Now people can debate the value of HADCRUT3, or other data sets that demonstrate this issue, but if CO2 has been rapidly rising (and it has) while global temperatures have not kept pace with predictions and in many cases, according to data [more]

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LorenCobb posted to the Atheist Fools board. 1:08 AM

A Mother's Day Card

Here is an online card for every mom who lost a child at Sandy Hook. Sign it and send it -- they need it.

www.sandyhookpromise.org/mothersday

Loren

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 12:56 PM

Re: Out of touch?

SooozFool: Did I wander into RECF? Do we realy need another hyper-partisan, dumbed-down political board here? [...] Back to the godless heathen posts that I so look forward to reading here. Please?

Y'know, many posters on this board [more]

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LorenCobb posted to the Climate Change board. 8:35 PM

Moving forests is hard work

Koven, Charles D. (5 May 2013) "Boreal carbon loss due to poleward shift in low-carbon ecosystems", Nature Geoscience, doi:10.1038/ngeo1801

Snip:

Boreal forests covering the vast subarctic region of Canada and [more]

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LorenCobb posted to the Climate Change board. 2:29 PM

CO2 hits 400 ppm

The annual average atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide will cross 400 ppm several years from now, but the daily figures from Mauna Loa are about to (temporarily) cross this level in just a few days.

What does a world look like that [more]

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LorenCobb replied to the Climate Change board. 1:28 PM

Re: New shale oil estimates

The federal government is doubling its estimate of how much oil might be discovered and harvested in the booming area of the Dakotas and Montana...

Have you seen any estimates of the impact of shale oil on the world's URR [more]

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LorenCobb posted to the Climate Change board. 11:39 AM

Reconstructing the past

How do you reconstruct conditions in the past from knowledge of the present, given the nonlinear dynamics involved?

Apparently, most people assume that a mathematical model can simply be run "backwards". For models -- like weather [more]

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 3:37 PM

Re: Inside Job

Totolapse: The grad students claim was that after months the British Army went into the famine areas and did not find stockpiles of food, so this disproved Amartya's work. Schlocky [sloppy?] work if you aren't going to review the train shipment [more]

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LorenCobb replied to the Atheist Fools board. 11:35 PM

Re: Just How Dumb/Smart Are We?

AM: ...scientific quiz (hint: It's easy - yet most people can't answer these 13 simple questions)

Cute... and horrifying!

If everyone here will promise not to take the following too seriously, here is an online quiz at the [more]

Boards Post

LorenCobb replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 7:20 PM

Re: OT: H7N9

Rubberthinking: Taiwan finds first H7N9 infection. The first case outside of the Chinese mainland. Taiwan has an infected man in serious condition and isolation. It seems to have been a human to human infection.

Thanks for the [more]