FlyingCircus’ Activity

Today

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 6:39 PM

Re: OT: High Frequency Trading

Not detailed, but - Flash Boys (recent book by Michael Lewis) covers some of it. HFT started out as identifying and arbing price discrepancies between derivatives of securities (commodities), like futures, and current prices of the underlying [more]

Thu Feb 4

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FlyingCircus replied to the Political Asylum board. 11:30 PM

Re: Shhhh...You Hear That...

Cmon, really? 10 or 2 vs tens of thousands?

Wed Feb 3

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 10:13 PM

Re: bottom indicator

BA, I hope you will read the linked article, and consider cutting yourself a little slack... ;-)

Our bottom line result is that perfect foresight has great returns, but gut-wrenching drawdowns. In other words, an active manager who was [more]

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 8:51 PM

Re: Rising?

More importantly, with regard to the rising specifically,
1.) the 9 day crossed the 27 day on 1/27. It is still above the 27 day.
2.) the 27 day is still in an upslope but
3.) the 9 day rolled over today from a high of -160 yesterday to [more]

Tue Feb 2

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 12:23 PM

Re: bottom indicator

BA that post clarified a couple of things... You should connect with LorenCobb!! He has consulted with so many organizations that could probably use a creative PhD type, he may be able to connect you with someone.

My second rec is - never [more]

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 12:37 AM

Re: Help, mungofitch!

I'm not mungo flitch and don't pretend to be.

I keep coming back to the question, what if I'm wrong?

This is your call and no one can make it for you.

Whatever you do, limit your risk to an amount you are willing to lose if [more]

Sat Jan 30

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 10:06 AM

Re: Coppock Monthly Signal

Thanks! One thing that month-end monthly chart points out - yells at you about - is how capped, topped, dead money the market's been for a year and a half.

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Boards Post

FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 10:02 AM

Re: bottom indicator

...much easier to discern.

Discern, or calculate? If it can be calculated, ie mechanical, you're welcome to share...

Fri Jan 29

NL

Boards Post

FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 6:21 PM

Re: bottom indicator

Like Elan said - is there a lack of understanding of the Bearcatcher scenario? If you were to follow Timing, Mechanically, disciplined you would have been out of stocks (and most certainly MI screens) since late December at the latest, November if [more]

Thu Jan 28

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FlyingCircus replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:48 PM

Re: National Infrastructure Administration

Yeah, that'll go well.

NL

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FlyingCircus posted to the Mechanical Investing board. 8:35 PM

Surviving a Bear, taught by DiCaprio

You can blame anything you like, so long as you understand that the bear has been a year or more in the making.

The technicians saw it coming. Deteriorating market internals screamed, particularly the advance-decline ratio, which
[more]

Wed Jan 27

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 9:59 PM

Re: Execution Question

Looks like you got hosed. Verified the 1d chart on Bloomberg. Speculating on options - I have no idea:
1.) Folio's trades happen in their own "dark pool" first, so if they had a 1.5 hr stale price on a Folioer selling at 171.63 (the [more]

Tue Jan 26

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FlyingCircus replied to the 77's Foolish House of Pigskin board. 8:33 PM

Re: Was Belichick In Flint, Michigan...

Missing that XP was crucial.

<snark>
Brilliant analysis.

Turtling against Miami and blowing the #1 seed & HFA: crucial.

Going into the AFC CC with a patchwork, second string O-line against the league's [more]

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 6:41 PM

Re: bottom indicator

whipsawed again

my uninvited advice: use these timing signals as intermediate term direction setters only, and follow them. If you get out, get out based on those and know you're getting out for at least a few weeks (in this case, it [more]

Sat Jan 23

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Boards Post

FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 2:27 PM

Re: bottom indicator

When making a major decision, the prime thing to always ask yourself is, "But what if I am wrong? What then?"

The clearest and best advice out here in some time.

For example - I jumped back in after the 9/08 [more]

Thu Jan 21

NL

Boards Post

FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 10:09 PM

Re: Timing

THIS IS NOT INVESTING ADVICE.

Anything double or triple leveraged in the Direxion stable will bounce very strongly...

IF

you get a bottom right.

AND

you don't hold on to it too long (<30 days max). [more]

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FlyingCircus replied to the Political Asylum board. 7:33 PM

Re: You Created Her, Now Own Her

She - and he - is a disgraceful, knuckle dragging, semi-literate moron, an idiot with a mouthpiece.

I used to be a Republican - but whatever this zombie clown show is (on both sides and in the "media") is something I will never be [more]

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FlyingCircus replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 7:25 PM

Re: Ready to reenter MI

Might not including MDD in screen selection reduce the need for timing?

In a word or five, well... no. One will not find a screen in this universe that significantly outperforms a down market - in other words, MI screens do not [more]

NL

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FlyingCircus replied to the 77's Foolish House of Pigskin board. 7:05 PM

Re: Most Famous Play in Super Bowl???

Kearse's catch that set up the situation for Butler's interception was arguably even better than Helmet Catch, and, had it not been overshadowed by The Int to end all Ints it would be right there with it. But it's still gotta be in the top 5.

NL

Boards Post

FlyingCircus replied to the 77's Foolish House of Pigskin board. 6:59 PM

Re: Thank GOD...

...and the Tuck Rule / Snow Bowl win was cosmic, karmic PAYBACK to Da Raiduhz 23 years after the worst homer roughing the passer call EVAH snatched defeat out of the jaws of victory, to the hated 1978 Jack Tatum headhunter squad.

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Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool
Board Posts 3321
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Very First Post IRA - Transferring $ (2/18/1998)
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