FastMike’s Activity

Yesterday

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 6:23 PM

Re: Swiss Franc, Obamacare, Education: Common Theme

"...We are clued as to the problem when the analyst mentions “standard deviation.”... It LOOKED like a Gaussian distribution, so they built a Gaussian based model....The problem is that we cannot throw away or ignore this data point in the [more]

Thu Jan 22

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 2:13 PM

Re: TMF am I the only one still getting this message

"...If this is the case sit down, take deep breaths, and relax that clicking finger..."

Dear Dave:

I've run into that too.

First, does it take a long while to submit? Like it's going to [more]

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 12:15 PM

Re: TMF it ain't fixed yet.

"...This happened to me a number of times yesterday....and then it reverted to normal..."

Dear 'Murph':

I spent close to 30 years as an electronics technician. From experience, problems do not just go [more]

Wed Jan 21

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:36 AM

Re: Europe's QE Conundrum

"...Debt is an economic depressor, even if central banks stand ready to buy it all..."

Dear hound:

It's a vicious cycle, isn't it? And the Fed is still considering raising benchmark rates when the rest of the world [more]

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:35 AM

Re: New Year’s Eve 1649, a Sojourn

Thank you m'lady!

Mon Jan 19

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 6:21 PM

Re: New Year’s Eve 1649, a Sojourn

LOL!

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 5:29 PM

Re: New Year’s Eve 1649, a Sojourn

"...Economists can't even tell when a recession (or a recovery) has begun until it is quite far along..."

Dear hound:

Amazing, isn't it? It follows along what I just replied to TMFHockeypop: economist/analyst can [more]

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 5:23 PM

Re: New Year’s Eve 1649, a Sojourn

"...In a different look perhaps by Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller, economists may have the facts right but WE ask them for conclusions about which they are ill equipped to to provide a definitive answer..."

Dear [more]

Sun Jan 18

NL

Boards Post

FastMike posted to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 6:04 PM

New Year’s Eve 1649, a Sojourn

...If the facts don’t fit the theory, change the facts...”---Albert Einstein

Dear unrepentant Fools:

Begin Sojourn:

Trays of beef and roasted quail sided with hot loaves of bread were set on the library’s reading [more]

Sun Jan 4

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 2:41 PM

Re: Control Panel: Happy New Year!

"...Energy company junk bond defaults due to the low price of oil. Potential forced selling of assets, especially junk bonds..."

Dear Wendy:

That may not be the only 'to dumb to hedge' (TDTH) story. As your big [more]

Fri Jan 2

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 12:48 PM

Re: Merkel asked to not buy Greek bonds

"...Anyone in?..."

Dear tim:

Looks like the US 10 year note and 30 year bond are starting off 2015 on the right foot.

Your gawping Fool,
FM

Thu Jan 1

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 3:25 PM

Re: Data-based healthcare

"...Most recently, an observational study of the effects of screening in the United States over the past thirty years suggests that 50% of screen-detected cancers represent overdiagnosis... ...What questions should I [more]

Wed Dec 31

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 1:18 PM

Re: Just How Strong is the Economy?

Correction : the "entire" interview; very surprising:

[more]

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 12:58 PM

Re: Just How Strong is the Economy?

"...What has made the Federal Reserve so confident that it is true that it is willing to make policy based on it–especially as current inflation is still below the 2%/year target?.."

Dear tj:

You might be surprised [more]

Tue Dec 30

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 3:40 PM

Re: Treasury rolls out a new savings plan

"...I don't even buy mutual funds with big loads and "lock-up" periods..."

Dear hound:

I am 110% with you on annuities!

Anyway, I didn't mean to give the impression that I'm actually able to [more]

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 1:28 PM

Re: Treasury rolls out a new savings plan

"...Treasuries are an absolutely awful growth investment..."

Dear private sector Fools:

Ah! If it is indeed the same as the FERS "G" option (where I happen to have all of my hard earned [more]

Mon Dec 29

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 6:50 AM

Re: METAR Contest 2015

"...He was singing the "Short Treasuries" song back in 2007, 2008... and it's been a losing trade ever since..."

Dear whafa:

This time is different! A flock of black swans would bet on TBT! And a big flock [more]

Sun Dec 28

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 6:09 AM

Re: METAR Contest 2015

FastMike's picks (each with a brief note describing the absolute certainty of associated improbability)

Basket Part:

TBT : ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yr : It would be so astonishingly improbable, so mind [more]

Sat Dec 27

NL

Boards Post

FastMike replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 6:04 PM

Re: METAR Contest 2015

"...2015 METAR Contest Rules..."

Dear HH:

You don't happen to work for the Fed, do you?

Your studious Fool,
FM

Show More Activity ...

CAPS Stats & Trivia

CAPS Player Rating < 20
Player Rank 0 out of 75115
Score 0.00
Score Change Today -5.53
Accuracy 0.00%
Active Picks 5
Total Picks 17
Best Pick CSCO (+22.02)
Worst Pick CPST (-69.59)
Average Score per Pick -5.99
Charms Earned 0
Highest Rated Favorite No Favorites Selected
Go to FastMike’s CAPS page

Boards Stats & Trivia

Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool
Board Posts 2018
Recs Received 7406
People who have rec'd these posts 1154
Recs to Posts Ratio (last 30 days) 10.40
Threads Started 335
Threads Started Percentage 16.60 %
Most Frequent Board Macro Economic Trends and Risks
Very First Post Re: alta vista spinoff (12/4/1998)
Percentage of Posts Rec'd 65.81 %
Show FastMike’s 10 Latest Posts