ElCid16’s Activity

Wed Sep 17

CAPS Outperform Pitch

ElCid16 wrote about Transocean, Inc. (RIG) . 4:52 PM

RIG Outperform

Added a RL position today just under $35/share. Market Cap: $12.7B. Book Equity: $16.8B. Tangible Book Equity: $13.8B My assumptions: normalized OCF around $2-2.5B. That would yield a P/OCF of about 5-6. Normalized EBITDA around $3-3.5B. That would [more]

Blog Comment

ElCid16 commented on ikkyu2's blog post. 4:07 PM

Seadrill: stupid cheap again

Well, here goes nothing.  I added a stake in RIG today at $35.

I tried my hardest to play devil's advocate two days ago, but I agree that the markets are being incredibly pessimistic on the drillers right

[more]

Tue Sep 16

Blog Comment

ElCid16 commented on ElCid16's blog post. 2:52 PM

Taking Howard Marks' advice to heart

My three largest holding are VGT, XLF, and MKL. Right now the money from my MNST position is still in cash.  Not sure what's next, yet. 

Blog Comment

ElCid16 commented on ikkyu2's blog post. 11:28 AM

Seadrill: stupid cheap again

Ikkyu - have you taken a look at deere or agco, by chance?

Mon Sep 15

Blog Post

ElCid16 added a blog post. 7:12 PM

Taking Howard Marks' advice to heart

Any investor who truly cares about the preservation of capital - that is, fully attempting to balance financial risk with accumulation of financial wealth - should read The Most Important Thing Illuminated.  With this book, we [more]

Blog Comment

ElCid16 commented on ikkyu2's blog post. 5:47 PM

Seadrill: stupid cheap again

I don't know - rigs that used to be charged out for $700K per day are now being charged out at $500K per day.  And global drilling execs, including Seadrill's CFO, are saying 2015 will be worse than 2014.  What will day

[more]

Wed Sep 10

Caps Pick

ElCid16 made a pick in CAPS. 9:36 PM

Barclays PLC (ADR) (BCS) will Outperform the S&P 500

CAPS Outperform Pitch Reply

ElCid16 commented on JohnCLeven's pitch for BP. 11:54 AM

I've come full circle on BP. You and I had some banter about a year ago on why BP was/wasn't a good investment. I took the "wasn't" side and you took the "was" side. But now, I see BP (trading at book value) as a safer investment [more]

CAPS Underperform Pitch

ElCid16 wrote about NATURAL HLTH TRENDS CORP (NHTC) . 11:13 AM

NHTC Underperform

Don't mind me - just attempting to thread the needle here.

Caps Pick

ElCid16 made a pick in CAPS. 10:30 AM

NATURAL HLTH TRENDS CORP (NHTC) will Underperform the S&P 500

Blog Comment

ElCid16 commented on vistacarolina's blog post. 8:58 AM

Priceline

[more]

Wed Aug 27

CAPS Outperform Pitch Reply

ElCid16 commented on ElCid16's pitch for THI. 1:01 PM

Sold THI at $81 yesterday. Depending on the value of BKW shares, that could have been just a touch premature, but I was happy unloading around a PE of 30. At that premium, I'd just prefer to roll the investment over into SBUX (or find an even better [more]

Tue Aug 26

Caps Pick

ElCid16 made a pick in CAPS. 1:51 PM

Einstein Noah Restaurant Group, Inc. (BAGL) will Outperform the S&P 500

Fri Aug 22

Blog Comment

ElCid16 commented on IBDvalueinvestin's blog post. 9:17 AM

If you invested in Nasdaq 14 years ago, your still negative!

span*

:P 

Blog Comment

ElCid16 commented on IBDvalueinvestin's blog post. 9:15 AM

If you invested in Nasdaq 14 years ago, your still negative!

At the peak KO was yielding 0.7% and selling for 60-70 times earnings.

Yeah, I think I remember reading one of Berkshire's annual letters, and hearing Buffett talk about this.  In

[more]

Tue Aug 19

Blog Comment

ElCid16 commented on ElCid16's blog post. 3:01 PM

Capture the modern day Superinvestors' best ideas with 2 ETFs

After JPM, the next 5 holdings include GS, USB, and BEN - also top holdings of the XLF.

The XLF, by itself, probably captures 30-40% of the Superinvestors' top ideas. 

Blog Post

ElCid16 added a blog post. 2:39 PM

Capture the modern day Superinvestors' best ideas with 2 ETFs

A website I tend to visit frequently is dataroma.com, where a select group of superinvestors' portfolios are tracked.  From their website: [more]

Fri Aug 15

CAPS Outperform Pitch Reply

ElCid16 commented on ElCid16's pitch for THI. 8:04 AM

I just read on Business Insider that Tim Hortons serves 8 out of every 10 cups of coffee in Canada. I knew they had loyal customers, but I had no clue it was to that extent. To add to that, US comps in the latest quarter were up 6%. That's nearly on [more]

Mon Aug 11

Caps Pick

ElCid16 made a pick in CAPS. 3:50 PM

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold, Inc. (FCX) will Outperform the S&P 500

Caps Pick

ElCid16 made a pick in CAPS. 11:02 AM

Tesco (TSCDY) will Outperform the S&P 500
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CAPS Stats & Trivia

CAPS Player Rating 96.43
Player Rank 2679 out of 75038
Score 1563.75
Score Change Today +31.63
Accuracy 60.31%
Active Picks 190
Total Picks 1034
Best Pick GILD (+210.25)
Worst Pick GGP (-305.53)
Average Score per Pick 1.51
Charms Earned 11
Highest Rated Favorite valuemoney
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Boards Stats & Trivia

CAPS All Star
Board Posts 2
Recs Received 6
People who have rec'd these posts 4
Recs to Posts Ratio (last 30 days) N/A
Threads Started 0
Threads Started Percentage 0.00 %
Most Frequent Board Deranged Monkey Criticism
Very First Post Re: Lulu weak (6/17/2014)
Percentage of Posts Rec'd 100.00 %
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