EightTrack4

John Jacob Jingleheimerschmidt

EightTrack4’s Activity

Yesterday

NL

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EightTrack4 posted to the Deranged Monkey Criticism board. 6:48 PM

GaveKal What's Working

http://blog.gavekalcapital.com/?p=10317

Factor investing is a well known and utilized means that investors use to allocate capital in hopes of outperforming the market over long [more]

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EightTrack4 posted to the Stereo 8 board. 4:12 PM

Do Give a FIG.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=fig&ql=1

FIG goes Dutch. Market happy; happiness spills over to other alts.

This buying back stock thing when stock is down ... not following [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Deranged Monkey Criticism board. 1:44 PM

Re: how does get out of a funk?

6) Buying stocks in highly cyclical, highly levered, heavy capex businesses with high (100%) dividend payouts. ENOUGH SAID. Do not buy this combination above.

7) Sum of Many Crappy Parts (BCOR) - Hodge podge of garbage.

8) DO
[more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 12:51 PM

Re: Morningstar: BX Valuation Saga

Correction:

Stock market action is lumpy; look at the ups and down in any given year for the S&P 500. Yet I think almost all asset manager analysts presume in their models that going forward from this moment all will be smooth and [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 12:50 PM

Re: Morningstar: BX Valuation Saga

1/10/14 BX report:
Morningstar fair value $33 per unit from $27.

7/18/14 BX report:
Morningstar raises fair value from $34 (it had bumped BX up a buck previously) to $41 per unit.

1/30/15 BX report:
Morningstar
[more]

Thu Feb 4

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 4:17 PM

Re: APO reporting tomorrow

I thought you would be more excited about the buyback. Glad to see they aren't totally changing their approach, a la KKR. The buyback and Leon Black's valuation comments seem to be getting some play in the press. Maybe that is the reason for the [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Deranged Monkey Criticism board. 2:16 PM

Re: Now that everyone is dead...

http://recode.net/2016/02/03/meet-the-guy-behind-amazons-sec...

Amazon will indeed open up more bookstores, but it also plans to eventually [more]

Wed Feb 3

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 8:27 PM

Re: APO reporting tomorrow

Scorecard:

(5) Apollo Natural Resource Fund II - additional fundraising:
Yes, additional fundraising in q4/15 and still in market. Nat resources could be an awesome source of incentive distributions down the line given commodity [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 11:08 AM

Re: APO reporting tomorrow

How do you use this information? If the idea is that over an entire cycle they will do well, what are you looking for on a quarterly basis?

It seems like we already know generally how things are going now. Is there something that they
[more]

Tue Feb 2

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 9:47 PM

Re: APO reporting tomorrow

(11) Credit markdowns should be significant; interesting to see how much - commentary will likely be along the value investors buy more as things go down line. Flip side is credit deployment should aid management fees, particularly from draw-down [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 7:08 PM

Re: APO reporting tomorrow

I'll add:

(5) Apollo Natural Resource Fund II - additional fundraising; hard close amount and timing. First closing was $1.3b. Possible enlargement of ANRF II given market dislocation.

(6) Additional color on commodities including [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Deranged Monkey Criticism board. 2:49 PM

Re: how does get out of a funk?

That Venator writeup, which I've never heard of before (though the little video is a riot - esp. the part where it goes out of focus in the conference call but stays clear on Mr. Big Bubba)

The Venator video is ridiculous: see the [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Deranged Monkey Criticism board. 2:04 PM

Re: how does get out of a funk?

start writing two thesis
one long
one short

regardless of the direction you go


Venator offered up a variation of this approach in their latest monthly letter. Point & Counter-point.

[more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Deranged Monkey Criticism board. 9:47 AM

Re: how does get out of a funk?

how does one get out and get some confidence back?

If disappointing picks are the source of your confidence issues then you need to address the underlying cause of your 'poor picks' - if they are indeed poor picks.

too [more]

Mon Feb 1

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 9:45 AM

Re: Josh Harris - APO

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-29/apollo-lbo...

Original Bloomberg article has a [more]

Fri Jan 29

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EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 6:09 PM

Re: APO, BX, OAK in energy

*you just own a flat % at whatever price and let it ride?
*you add when it goes down a specific amount or
*you add and subtract based on what metric


For me it depends on a) my industry knowledge, b) my evaluation of the [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Deranged Monkey Criticism board. 4:00 PM

Re: My Theme-based Motley Investment Philosophy

i am revisiting the thread so you can get off your high horse -- you were literally drooling over Fanuc in the thread, even though it was clear you knew very little about the company/industry/cycle aside from reading a few 2nd hand articles. [more]

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EightTrack4 replied to the Deranged Monkey Criticism board. 11:04 AM

Re: My Theme-based Motley Investment Philosophy

At end of 2014, Fanuc traded at 20000 Yen. Today 15700 Yen. Nikkei flat.

Over 5 years, Fanuc was up 20% vs. Nikkei up 70%.

The ironic thing is Fanuc didn't grow revenue in the segment they are known for/"dominant" over
[more]

Thu Jan 28

NL

Boards Post

EightTrack4 replied to the Stereo 8 board. 5:54 PM

Re: APO, BX, OAK in energy

Mr. Market doesn't care right now but Blackstone aficionados should be salivating over the expansion of Core+ in BX real estate division.

Steve touches on Core+ in today's call. It's been written up recently too:

[more]

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Big red star, 1000 posts Old School Fool
Board Posts 2418
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Threads Started 280
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Very First Post Only fear is AXA itself... (2/5/2001)
Percentage of Posts Rec'd 82.59 %
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