BenSolar’s Activity

Mon Apr 25

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Political Asylum board. 5:39 PM

Re: A New Low

This, well said by nyua:

"

Republicans ... are opposed to increasing the minimum wage to any amount, believe climate change is bogus, are opposed to universal healthcare in any form and certainly are not going to help college [more]

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 2:30 PM

Re: muller classifies climate thinkers

"If the numbers are close to 9 feet and 2060, we should see 3 feet in half that time, or about 2036 and 1 foot in half that time, or about 2026 and 4 inches in about half that time or by 2021. Bringing it in closer, if anyone can actually see [more]

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BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 11:15 AM

Re: muller classifies climate thinkers

they are now predicting it will rise much faster. 9 feet by 2050 to 2060. If it were 6 feet in 85 years tops, no problem.


Not exactly accurate, IMO. Hansen et al.'s new sea rise paper says that the doubling time of the ice cap [more]

Thu Apr 21

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 11:39 AM

Re: 1st offshore wind decommissioning

The article also mentions:

"
Later this year, Danish utility DONG Energy will also move to decommission a 4.95-MW wind power facility off the island of Lolland—at the site of the world’s first offshore wind farm. DONG Energy put up [more]

Wed Apr 20

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Boards Post

BenSolar posted to the Climate Change board. 2:54 PM

Like a broken record ... another broken record

Warmest March on record, also warmest trailing 12 month period. 11th straight month that we've set a new record high for a given month.

[more]

Tue Apr 12

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 10:07 AM

Re: Arctic sea ice oops

It think the Arctic setting new high temperature records, that could have something to do with the low ice.

http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/maps/

Thu Apr 7

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 3:31 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017: Tesla Model 3 Intro

Here's a fearless prediction. I think the Tesla3 base price will be reduced as the tax credit is being phased out. I bet most of Tesla's margins are coming from options and add-ons anyway.

I disagree. I think they priced it at $35,000 [more]

Wed Apr 6

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 10:44 AM

Re: Focus on capture & storage

Here's a policy proposal that Myles Allen was lead author of, which requires certificates for fossil fuel that certify a certain % of that carbon will be permanently stored away from the atmosphere. [more]

Tue Apr 5

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 6:19 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017: Tesla Model 3 Intro

I can see Tesla trying to game the system a bit - though I have to say that's a real pessimistic 2017 projection for them. Only 7K unit sales growth from 2016 to 2017, particularly when the X got off to a bit of a slow start in Q1 2016? [more]

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 2:16 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017: Tesla Model 3 Intro

It is a crossover, not an SUV.

CUV/SUV same thing, more or less. They generally get lumped into the same category. I.e. here [more]

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 2:04 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017: Tesla Model 3 Intro

even assuming that the 3 doesn't ship on time, they'll very likely hit 200K by Q2 2018. The first phase out quarter would then be Q4 2018, with half subsidies through Q1 2019 and 1/4 subsidies through Q3 2019.


Here's an article [more]

Mon Apr 4

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 8:51 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017: Tesla Model 3 Intro

What exactly makes this a SUV? Is it third row seating?

I think this will actually compete more with the higher end sedan market than the SUV market. While it has decent cargo storage, it is on the lower end of cargo storage when compared
[more]

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BenSolar posted to the Climate Change board. 1:01 PM

EV Inflection 2016: Luxury SUVs: Tesla Model X

Inside EVs reports that the production line of Model Xs has been humming since the first week of March, and in the second half of the month Tesla made mass deliveries. They estimate 1,950 Model Xs were sold/delivered in March.

The market for [more]

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 11:52 AM

Re: EV Inflection 2017: Tesla Model 3 Intro

So the other question is, how many BMW owners got the jones for a Tesla? I think that's my problem with the whole inflection point idea. It assumes that there are millions and tens of millions of people out there who want to buy a plug-in (but [more]

Sun Apr 3

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 7:25 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017: Tesla Model 3 Intro

Does this imply that 100K fewer conventional hybrids will be sold?


I don't think so. If Tesla sells 100k+ Model 3s in 2018 I can't imagine all of those customers would have been in the market for a hybrid though some would I'm [more]

Sat Apr 2

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 10:08 AM

Re: EV Inflection 2017? Tesla Model 3 Intro

Subsidies are a whimpy politician's expensive answer to a problem better handled with a much simpler significant (say 25¢ a liter) tax on gas and diesel fuel at the pump?

Of course EVs don't completely escape either as I'm also in
[more]

Fri Apr 1

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Climate Change board. 4:30 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017: Tesla Model 3 Intro

Tesla itself does not expect deliveries to begin until late 2017 - and they've been late with prior launches, so I've seen several commentators say that they think that might slip.

Stranger things have happened for sure.

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 4:25 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017? Tesla Model 3 Intro

I'm sure you were fully aware when you posted the OP that you are open to replies?


Reply away, sir! Reply away!

I'm fully aware that some complain about the subsidies for EVs, and they are welcome to reply to my post to [more]

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 12:34 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017? Tesla Model 3 Intro

I need something more along the lines of a small SUV, minivan, or Cube.

How long until another version comes out that is more practical (same everything except the body style)?


That is next on Tesla's plate after mass [more]

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Boards Post

BenSolar replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 12:31 PM

Re: EV Inflection 2017? Tesla Model 3 Intro

I would say "Inflection" starts when subsidies stop?


Meh, the automobile and oil industries are anything but a free market, plus there is the problem of pollution from petro-cars. The public has numerous interests in [more]

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Boards Stats & Trivia

Big gold star, 5000 posts Old School Fool
Board Posts 11826
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Recs to Posts Ratio (last 30 days) 4.70
Threads Started 1988
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Most Frequent Board Climate Change
Very First Post Re: Anybody home (2/11/2000)
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