Alphastotle’s Activity

Thu Aug 13

NL

Boards Post

Alphastotle replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 2:45 PM

Re: Why We Time

I don't think bull or bear markets can be reliably predictable.
Overlook the poor out of sample results of the BC's because hey it's been nothing but a bull market the last 5 yrs.


The backtests would suggest otherwise, those that [more]

NL

Boards Post

Alphastotle replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 1:35 PM

Re: Why We Time

Maybe the next bear market will rectify the situation?

Do you think most people use timing to improve their results in bull markets or protect against bear markets?

Sat Jul 4

NL

Boards Post

Alphastotle replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 2:32 PM

Re: 200 DMA as a Timing Signal

As an alternative, one might be advised to test whatever measure they choose rather than use what is bandied about in the media.

Fri Jul 3

NL

Boards Post

Alphastotle replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 1:34 PM

Re: 200 DMA as a Timing Signal

That's exactly the point, take any period of say 10 years, and a different moving average target will work best. There is nothing magical about the 200 DMA. You can take a long period of say 75 years and the best overall measure will not be the best [more]

Thu Jul 2

NL

Boards Post

Alphastotle posted to the Mechanical Investing board. 9:53 PM

200 DMA as a Timing Signal

Here's an interesting article about the 200 DMA as a timing signal--

http://www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2015/07/stock-bond-alloca...

Mon Jun 29

NL

Boards Post

Alphastotle replied to the Mechanical Investing board. 4:20 PM

Re: S&P Up or Down

I could see a correction, we haven't had a noticeable one in quite a while and it is summer. On the other hand, 20% seems extreme unless Greece blows up. I suspect faced with the prospect of a collapse of their banks, the Greeks may think austerity [more]

CAPS Stats & Trivia

CAPS Player Rating < 20
Player Rank 0 out of 75182
Score 0.00
Score Change Today 0
Accuracy 0.00%
Active Picks 0
Total Picks 0
Best Pick ( 0)
Worst Pick ( 0)
Average Score per Pick 0.00
Charms Earned 0
Highest Rated Favorite No Favorites Selected
Go to Alphastotle’s CAPS page

Boards Stats & Trivia

One star, 50 posts
Board Posts 51
Recs Received 54
People who have rec'd these posts 40
Recs to Posts Ratio (last 30 days) N/A
Threads Started 6
Threads Started Percentage 11.76 %
Most Frequent Board Retire Early CampFIRE
Very First Post Re: backtest.org 2012 results (1/11/2013)
Percentage of Posts Rec'd 37.25 %
Show Alphastotle’s 10 Latest Posts